After the resumption of the work of all Chinese ports - the shipment of containers and the reception, according to Mario Volzhichek, will be unstable for another 2-5 weeks. Everything will recover, and the resulting congestion will subside. In this case, the ripple effect will remain due to the stop of the empty flow.
“As for the world as a whole, the echoes of port closures will be felt for 2-3 quarters. Literally until the end of 2021 and the beginning of 2022, ”he believes.
Market participants are sure of one thing - the current situation will cause a further increase in freight rates.
But these are only forecasts, and what will really happen - only time will tell. Hopefully, China will cope with the pandemic as soon as possible and reopen ports at full capacity. They already have a well-honed scheme of struggle and a way out of such a situation.
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Update 10/09/2021
Evergreen has placed an order for the construction of 24 container ships. The total construction cost is $ 1.1 billion.
The project has already been approved, the planned construction of the ships will be carried out at a Chinese shipyard called Huangpu Wenchong Shipbuilding.
The contract stipulates the design and commissioning of container ships of three options (differences in size):
- the capacity of 11 vessels will be 3000 TEU,
- 11 more ships capable of transporting 2300 TEU (that is, the container ship will be able to transport 2300 twenty-pound containers by sea),
- a pair of vessels of the smallest volume of 1800 TEU (this is 1800 20-foot containers).
The price of container ships ranges from $ 27 million to $ 50 million.
This news is good news! As soon as the vessels are able to transport cargo, the tension on the lines of sea transportation of raw materials with China will begin to fade.